FORESIGHT & ADVISORY
HOLD THE FUTURE IN YOUR OWN HANDS AND PREPARE FOR AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE
For multi-national entities the world has become increasingly diffuse, incoherent and very complex. Investment decisions and/or trade have to be assessed on a multitude of different levels, taking into account not only market, economical and technical challenges, but also politics, culture, religious and increasingly internal and external power constellations. The current developments in the MENA region necessitate a new approach, as the knowledge of yesterday or in-country-experience or operations, are not anymore sufficient to address future challenges.
FORESIGHT & IMPACT ANALYSIS
"We have to think above and beyond insider knowledge of the particular power play of governments, non-state actors, royal families, investment companies and sovereign wealth funds."
Forward-looking approaches are critical to frame strategies and prepare for the unforeseen challenges in a dynamic, interconnected and global world, in which we are confronted by ever-changing economic, social and political environments. A world of ‘Geopolitical Recession’, in which multilateralism and the rule-based international order are under pressure, and technologies and new international and non-state actors have the potential to be real geostrategic game changers.
Strategic Foresight, when used in a systematic and inclusive manner, can be a very effective tool to identify the forces and factors that drive global changes, anticipate threats and mitigate risks, and identify opportunities to influence the course of events. Navigating countries, institutions, companies and people through a fast-changing global environment is an enormous task.
Strategic foresight helps to inform and support strategic decision-making, in particular when national governments and international organisations get ready to take decisions with far-reaching strategic consequences.
"How can organizations ensure that they hold their future in their own hands? What must they do to better prepare for an uncertain future and tackle new complex challenges?"
GEOPOLITICAL & COUNTRY RISK
MNCs and SMEs are forced, due to the maturity of Western markets, to expand beyond the confines of the developed world into areas that carry risk far greater than that to which they are accustomed. The current global situation contradicts the dogma of the 1990s which entailed that free market enterprise and a liberal economic agenda would lead to more stable geopolitical relations.
 The lull in threats, and the decline of interstate warfare during the period 1990-2010 provided a geopolitical environment that enabled heavy consolidation across industries, resulting in the emergence of massive conglomerates with worldwide reach. The economy was paramount; corporations were almost unconstrained by political and social considerations.
The latter is now a threat, as business’s greater international presence and increasing geopolitical complexity have led to a heightened business’s exposure to conflict and violence.
Stable geopolitics have led to new global players, which are not accustomed to the present situation. Current MNCs/SMEs have become companies and political actors as well. In a risky global society, to remain a global player today, a firm must be able to survive not only economic downturns, but also geopolitical shocks.
"Geopolitical & Country risk is focused on an in-depth understanding of the political, economic, security and operational environment in all countries of the MENA region."
GROWTH POTENTIAL & DUE DILIGENCE​
We help organizations to better prepare for disruptive developments and to adopt, make decisions and organize themselves so that they are able to benefit from a volatile and uncertain future.
We review your stakeholder engagement and market strategy and work with you to (re)define a sustainable market development approach.Â
"Investors needs an impossible mix of experience, access to decision making information, loyalty, expertise and capabilities to evaluate and direct a successful organization in a responsible and sustainable manner."
We enable you to be agile enough to cope with the fast-changing market requirements, new market dynamics due to privatization and the increasing importance of distinctive technology, renewed visions combined with new ways of customer engagement.Â
"Study of the REAL growth potential before strategic and investment decisions are taken."
We pilot, guide and work with you to maximize opportunity and return on investments.Â
 We have over 50 years of combined experience and hold a vast network of governmental and business contacts. We can open any door and help you build new and long-lasting relationships.